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Read this article...it walks
you through my tools and tactics for Fibonacci Trading...and be
sure to check out the E-Mini S&P, commodity futures, and
stocks examples below
Fibonacci
Levels are a staple in my trading, intraday and end-of-day.
After I identify the major and minor trendlines and
recent Minor Lows and High, I draw my Fibonacci Levels using one
of two tools:
the Fibonacci Retracement Tool
the Fibonacci Extension Tool
Unfortunately,
Fibonacci Levels are a cause of confusion for far too many
traders. Either they don’t know how to draw them or they
don’t know what to do with them once they have drawn them.
If you think of Fibonacci Levels as support and
resistance then you have taken a huge step forward in
simplifying their active role on your charts.
So let’s discuss Fibonacci Retracements.
Drawing them can be very easy once you understand the
role of Minor Highs and Lows because it is from these highs and
lows that you will draw your retracement.
Minor
Lows and Highs are simply points at which prices change
direction. A Minor
High is established when the current high has a lower high
before and after it. A
Minor Low then is established when the current low has a higher
low before and after it. (please
see “Using Minor Lows and Minor Highs to Pinpoint
Reversals”). It
is these highs and lows that will give us a guideline as to
where to begin drawing the starting and ending points of the
Fibonacci Retracement Tool.
We are looking for the “last major move” which
is typically the most recent rally or sell-off.
Fibonacci Retracements are used to measure the bounce or
pull-back from the “last major move.”
The
chart below is an example of a recent Fibonacci Retracement in
the Eurodollar FX market. The
starting point where the Fibonacci Tool begins is marked with an
“A” and the ending point with a “B”.
The subsequent levels that are calculated are the
retracement levels. The
levels represent potential reversal areas. Think of them as support and resistance because that’s
truly what they are. As
you can see the .786 level at 1.24745 was indeed support -- and
prices reversed. In this example, the best way to use these Fibonacci
Retracements is to assume that any of the levels could be
where prices find support and that we should pay extra attention
to them.
What
we now have is a series of predictable “alert levels” where
instead of having to randomly guess at what point we should set
stop loss orders or profit targets, we can pinpoint what these
levels are and implement them into our trading plan before even
placing an order.
Risk to reward ratios can be planned with levels that
have basis in price action…
Trendline breakouts can be confirmed with Fibonacci
Price Levels…
Entries and Exits can be measured within an
established trend…
The
real-world applications are powerful and accurate. This is how powerful and easy to use eSignal’s Fibonacci
Retracement Tool is.
When
learning how to draw Fibonacci Retracement Levels there are
often questions as to where to draw the Levels which I
hope we addressed effectively here, but there are also issues of
when to draw new levels when price action has established
new Minor Highs and Lows. Traders
can now can automate Fibonacci Levels. So now instead of fighting with whether the levels you used
are correct or whether to draw a new level, you can let the
software studies handle it for you.
This
is the exact software I use in our day to day trading and it has
allowed me to seamlessly analyze multiple markets and multiple
time frames with ease. Just like many of you, I often used
to find myself with not enough time to do the sort of thorough
chart analysis successful trading demands.
I
automated my own chart analysis for many of the same reasons
other traders seek to as well: save time, increase
accuracy and remove fear, greed, and emotion from our analysis!
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